Back in early March I wrote about drafting middle relievers late in the draft instead of starters who might be in the back of a team's rotation. What if I told you that taking two middle relievers would be a better option for your fantasy team? Let's first look at Blanton's 5x5 stats from last season. He had nine wins, 111 strikeouts, a 4.69 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP.
Now, let's look at a few middle relievers who should also be available in those late rounds. J.P. Howell and Matt Thornton both have average draft positions well above 300. If you were to use your final two selections on them and combine their stats here's what you'd get. You have a pitcher with 11 wins, 169 strikeouts, a 2.41 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in 156.2 innings of work.This is sound advice that I have always followed. It gets even better if your league uses holds as a stat category, but I digress. You see the strategy at work there. Now let me share with you two relievers, who I am targeting now, who are lighting it up early in middle relief roles.
Octavio Dotel, White Sox -- To date, Dotel has made two appearances and struck out the side both times. Read that again because that's flippin' dominating pitching. He's struck out six while only giving up one hit and walking none. He also recorded a relief win in one of his appearances. He's one of the main set-up guys for Bobby Jenks and has struck out more than a batter per inning in each of the last two seasons. He's going to rack up on holds, grab a few relief wins and is really looking like he's going to strike everyone out. You should consider finding a place on your roster for Dotel.
Michael Wuertz, Athletics -- Wuertz might not be striking out just about every batter he faces, but he's still showing off great stuff in Oakland. He's made two relief appearances and struck out four batters while walking none. He's also recorded a relief win and only given up one hit. Wuertz hasn't been pitching in a set-up role for the Athletics. He's been the first relief pitcher to the mound after the starter gets yanked. This could get Wuertz some serious innings this year and allow his strikeout total to climb. That could also put him into mix for five to six relief wins, which could really help your fantasy team.
If you were to find two lower end starters on your roster (come on, I know lots of you took flyers on Brian Moehler and Scott Olsen) and replace them with Dotel and Wuertz, I'd bet you that these two could combine for 11 wins and 140 strikeouts while keeping their ERA right at 3.00. I think I'd take that. The question is ... would you?











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
4-09-2009 @ 11:47PM
Matt Snyder said...
Plus, Brian Moehler crammed 7 earned runs and 8 hits and a loss into 1 2/3 innings last time out. That's a one-game setup workload with a quarter season's worth of bad counting stats.
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4-10-2009 @ 1:18AM
al said...
Correct me if I'm wrong on this (a very good possibility), but in this scenario, aren't you having to use two roster spots, thus eliminating another starting pitcher? And if you're using two relievers to get the stats of just one mediocre pitcher, what about the other slot? You're missing out on that pitchers wins/k's/etc.. no?
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4-10-2009 @ 1:38AM
Knox Bardeen said...
First off, and I should have said this in the article, this strategy is for competitive leagues that are pretty to very deep. If you're in a league where you only need to grab pitchers who are MLB staff aces or one or two below that, then you're better off sticking to them. But, if you actively start pitchers that are occupying the 5th spot in rotations or are cannon fodder at times like Oliver Perez, this strategy will work for you.
Look at it this way, which pair would you rather have on your fantasy roster (and I'm going to use actual '08 numbers here)?
Starter #1 - 32 GS, 10 Wins, 125 K's, 5.15 ERA, 1.60 WHIP
Starter #2 - 28 GS, 7 Wins, 108 K's, 6.35 ERA, 1.66 WHIP
or
Middle Reliever #1 - 10 Wins, 55 K's, 1.62 ERA, 1.05 WHIP
Middle Reliever #2 - 6 Wins, 92 K's, 2.22 ERA, 1.13 WHIP
Sure, the starters will get more wins (only one more) and strikeouts (86 more), but they will kill your ERA and WHIP. The relievers keep your ERA and WHIP down, plus they get you some wins, some strikeouts and maybe even a save or two here and there.
Think about it.
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4-10-2009 @ 10:43AM
rafi said...
It's not easy to forecast who will be the top win getting mid-relievers and end up with 2 guys providing 16 wins. 2 guys providing about 10 is far more common.
This approach is great for daily transaction leagues, less so for weekly ones where you are taking an SP's roster spot. Still better than pitching the worst bums. I may try employing it again this year in my AL-Only league even though it has weekly moves.
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